Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 12.340559 14.195119 16.173576 18.434662 20.940394 23.625383 26.713051
2025-02-09 9.893820 12.311488 15.047454 18.350323 22.205829 26.540288 31.756637
2025-02-16 7.850298 10.478326 13.610530 17.573058 22.403405 28.050233 35.096743
2025-02-23 6.581445 9.348871 12.800217 17.344898 23.089445 30.023912 38.933958
2025-03-02 5.511695 8.306927 11.944576 16.914306 23.405117 31.466767 42.093530
2025-03-09 4.748308 7.560658 11.366222 16.740473 23.965718 33.164991 45.561205
2025-03-16 4.044580 6.802393 10.680231 16.334749 24.149071 34.332897 48.339116
2025-03-23 3.605015 6.368914 10.390235 16.420465 24.954207 36.298469 52.171780
2025-03-30 3.190092 5.919819 10.027630 16.357686 25.522331 37.937128 55.592428
2025-04-06 2.895757 5.623613 9.857288 16.543655 26.422939 40.030321 59.658301
2025-04-13 2.635729 5.351502 9.694333 16.716120 27.292198 42.088041 63.713810
2025-04-20 2.467796 5.215120 9.726994 17.174476 28.580985 44.754813 68.663878
2025-04-27 2.286019 5.037046 9.681172 17.510633 29.706999 47.236187 73.443419
2025-05-04 2.060901 4.753121 9.435462 17.509609 30.314564 48.981490 77.220763
2025-05-11 1.741863 4.250480 8.775257 16.792786 29.782215 49.037923 78.573309
2025-05-18 1.541772 3.953473 8.443124 16.585716 30.018132 50.212231 81.545565
2025-05-25 1.336794 3.617617 8.010182 16.175464 29.902568 50.843145 83.723138
2025-06-01 1.187595 3.379035 7.733151 16.009845 30.162457 52.034481 86.739912
2025-06-08 1.029049 3.095611 7.344569 15.619173 30.027979 52.605752 88.831350
2025-06-15 0.939576 2.958719 7.227097 15.702245 30.674909 54.393044 92.781174
2025-06-22 0.844556 2.794012 7.039002 15.641808 31.071158 55.790696 96.161333
2025-06-29 0.781042 2.698655 6.983486 15.821339 31.878026 57.850870 100.592293
2025-07-06 0.721860 2.605594 6.924258 15.987816 32.663561 59.890852 105.027933